From afdcd1@UAA.ALASKA.EDU Wed May 6 23:26:20 1998 Received: from mxu1.u.washington.edu (mxu1.u.washington.edu [140.142.32.8]) by lists.u.washington.edu (8.8.4+UW97.07/8.8.4+UW97.05) with ESMTP id XAA34588 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 23:26:19 -0700 Received: from cwolf.alaska.edu (cwolf.uaa.alaska.edu [137.229.100.202]) by mxu1.u.washington.edu (8.8.4+UW97.07/8.8.4+UW97.09) with ESMTP id XAA20895 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 23:26:18 -0700 Received: from [137.229.98.169] ("port 1346"@[137.229.98.169]) by UAA.ALASKA.EDU (PMDF V5.1-10 #27959) with SMTP id <01IWQ9JXXUZ08X2FSO@UAA.ALASKA.EDU> for consbio@u.washington.edu; Wed, 6 May 1998 22:25:28 -0900 Date: Wed, 06 May 1998 22:25:27 -0900 From: afdcd1@UAA.ALASKA.EDU (Dr. David Duffy) Subject: El Nino Bulletin 24 issued 2 May 1998 To: ArcticInfo Mailing List , seabird@uct.ac.za, FISH1IFR@aol.com, ECOLOG-L@UMDD.UMD.EDU, consbio@u.washington.edu, Message-id: MIME-version: 1.0 Content-type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-transfer-encoding: quoted-printable *********ENSO 97-98: CURRENT REPORTS ON EVENTS************** This electronic mailing is intended to provide near real-time reports primarily on marine and terrestrial events that may be linked to the development of the 1997 - 1998 El Ni=F1o/Southern Oscillation which has bee= n one of the most severe ENSO events in history. Emphasis is on seabirds and changes to marine ecosystems, but we appreciate other reports that may expand our understanding of effects. These might include rainfall, flooding, or associated disease outbreaks. We try to be inclusive and to let hindsight separate ENSO from other effects. Report 24, 2 May 1998, is available at http://darwin.bio.uci.edu/~sustain/ENSO.html To be placed on the emailing list for future bulletins, contact David Duffy Pacific Cooperative Study Unit Department of Botany University of Hawaii Honolulu HI 96822 USA Tel 808-956-8369 =46ax 808 973-2936 ************************************* 1-27 APRIL 1998: SYNPOSIS El Nino continues to weaken off Peru, Ecuador and California, but still generates lingering rains and may leave vector-based disease problems in California as it has already done in Brazil, Peru and Ecuador. Heavy rains in Brazil and Argentina are causing problems, as they did in the 1983 ENSO event. Southern Africa seems to have escaped major problems, compared to 1983; but northeastern Africa has major health and food problems, an aftermath of earlier heavy rains, aided by collapses in government structures. In Asia, Indonesia and the Philippines are at the edge of widespread famine, as a result of ENSO droughts and economic problems. =46ires and drought continue in Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei and the Philippines. Dengue fever has become a major problem in Indonesia and Thailand. The northern hemisphere has experienced anomalous climatic events including major flooding in England, heat waves in Georgia and Armenia, storms in Japan, and the deadliest tornado season in the U.S. in 14 years.= =20 It is difficult, however, to determine whether these events are linked to ENSO. ************************** TITLES OF INDIVIDUAL REPORTS 13 - 22 MARCH 1998. ECUADOR (GALAPAGOS): MARINE MAMMALS & FINCHES MARCH 1998. PACIFIC COAST: OCEANOGRAPHY AND FISHERIES 26 MARCH 1998. WORLD: FISHERY (FISHMEAL) 1 APRIL 1998. ARIZONA: SEABIRD 2 APRIL 1998. BRAZIL: DENGUE FEVER 3 APRIL 1998. HAWAII: IMPACT (MAILE LEI) 3 APRIL 1998. VIETNAM: CLIMATE (HEAT WAVE) 3 APRIL 1998. CUBA: AGRICULTURE 3 APRIL 1998. PHILIPPINES: FAMINE 3 APRIL 1998. HAWAII: CLIMATE (DROUGHT 3 APRIL 1998. MEXICO: FIRES 4 APRIL 1998. CALIFORNIA: RIVER RUNOFF 4 APRIL 1998. PHILIPPINES: FIRE 4 APRIL 1998. PERU: AQUACULTURE 4 APRIL1998. U.S.A.: IMPACT 5 APRIL 1998. PHILIPPINES: STARVATION? 5 APRIL 1998. CLIMATE: FIRE 6 APRIL 1998. MARYLAND: POTENTIAL FISH KILS 6 APRIL 1998. INDONESIA: DENGUE FEVER 7 APRIL 1998. CALIFORNIA: IMPACT (DESERT FLOWERS) 8 APRIL 1998. U.S.: CLIMATE: ENSO AND CLIMATE CHANGE NOAA: SPECIAL EL NINO WEATHER SUMMARY ISSUED 8 APRIL 1998. ALASKA: SEABIRDS (DIE-OFF) 9 APRIL 1998. CALIFORNIA: SEABIRDS, FISH, & MARINE MAMMALS 9 APRIL 1998. ECUADOR: AGRICULTURE (IMPACT) 9 APRIL 1998. U.S.: CLIMATE (TORONADO MORTALITY) 9 APRIL 1998. NEOTROPICS: CLIMATE 9 APRIL 1998. PERU: FISHERY 9 APRIL 1998. INDONESIA: ORANGUTANS 10 APRIL 1998. ETHIOPIA & SUDAN: FAMINE 11 APRIL 1998. MEXICO: FIRES 12 APRIL 1998. CALIFORNIA & NEW MEXICO: DISEASE 12 APRIL 1998. KENYA: DISEASE (CHOLERA) 12 APRIL 1998. HONG KONG: RED TIDE 12 APRIL 1998. ECUADOR. LANDSLIDE 12 APRIL 1998. PHILIPPINES: FIRE 13 APRIL 1998. PHILIPPINES: FAMINE 13 APRIL 1998. ENGLAND: CLIMATE (FLOODING) 13 APRIL 1998. SOUTHERN AFRICA: FOOD SUPPLY 14 APRIL 1998. PANAMA: CORAL (BLEACHING) 14 APRIL 1998. ECUADOR: Climate AND IMPACT 14 APRIL 1998. ARGENTINA: CLIMATE (RAIN) 14 APRIL 1998. BRUNEI: IMPACT (SMOG) 15 APRIL 1998. JAPAN: WEATHER? 15 APRIL 1998: GEORGIA & ARMENIA: CLIMATE (HEAT WAVE) 17 APRIL 1998. BRAZIL: AMAZONIAN FOREST FIRES 17 APRIL 1998. ALASKA: SEABIRD (MORTALITY) 17 APRIL 1998. PERU & ECUADOR: HUMAN CASUALTIES 17 APRIL 1998. ARGENTINA: FLOODING 17 APRIL 1998. INDONESIA: ORANGUTANS 17 APRIL. MEXICO: FISHERY 18 APRIL 1998. MALAYSIA: WATER SUPPLY 18 APRIL 1998. VIETNAM: DROUGHT 20 APRIL 1998. PHILLIPINES: FISH 20 APRIL 1998. PERU: FISHERY (ANCHOVETA) 20 APRIL 1998. ARGENTINA: FLOODING 21 APRIL 1998. PHILIPPINES: DISEASE (CHOLERA) 24 APRIL 1998. PERU: IMPACT (SUMMARY) 24 APRIL 1998. INDONESIA: FIRE 25 APRIL 1998. THAILAND: DISEASE (DENGUE) 24 APRIL 1998. INDONESIA: DISEASE (DENGUE) .