Subj : NOAA.
To   : JEAN PARROT
From : JIM HOLSONBACK
Date : Sun Aug 28 2005 06:05 pm

UPdate- I talked on phone with Matt earlier this afternoon.  As of then,
he still intends to ride it out - staying home and keeping his own pumps
running, which keep his house from flooding.

After I had written the below, I checked the 4PM advisory - - path
thru here about the same, but now back down to 165mph. Good. Gotta run
watch the 5PM news here to see what they say.

Hello, Jean.  Too hot for me to be working outside this afternoon.
-=> on 08-28-05 08:55, JEAN PARROT wrote to JIM HOLSONBACK <=-
 JP>         Hello Jim, we were saying !

 JH> I have a permanent bookmark at www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml

 JP>         So have I. I worried about you and S. but K. moved west or at
 JP>   least was supposed to swirl to the MS line. Where is Matt M. ?

He's in New Orleans LA, in the part which extends under Mississippi.  If
you look at the maps on the NOAA site, you can see Lake Ponchartrain,
and NO is like in the southeast quadrant of the lake, near the
lakeshore.  If you look at the projected path as of late this morning,
after passing thru that part of LA, the path goes up thru MS, generally
running NNE, and passing over the NE corner of MS and NW corner of
AL.  We're about in center of AL and about 2/3rds the way up the state,
so the current projection would have it a pretty good distance west of
us here.

Path is very near Matt, though, and it had jumped to Cat 5 and 160 mph
by the first update this morning.  The update later this morning had it
up to 175 mph sustained winds. Wind pressure varies as the square of the
velocity, so the pressure on objects, trees, buildings, etc. would be
about 4.8 times that of a 80mph weak Cat 1 hurricane.  I've held my
hand/arm out the car window going along at maybe 75 mph on Interstate,
so thinking in terms of wind force about 5 times as much clearly gives
some pretty impressive forces.

 JH> I know you have been through this before, and will no doubt try to
 JH> ride it out and keep your pump going.

 JP>         You should be safe if I remember the pixes that you sent me of
 JP>   your new residence, you are in hilly suroundings and on top of a
 JP>   small knoll, right ?  No pump required I hope so. But the wind will
 JP>   hit you, maybe. I have not had a look at NOAA yet this morning, last
 JP>   I saw, last evening, the TS area was going close to Hoover.

No danger of flooding at my place, but these so-called hardwood trees up
here don't hold up well under high winds.  About 200 miles inland here,
and that Ivan storm last SEP blew over 3 trees in the yard here before
we got moved in.  Latest map shows some probability of tropical storm
force winds 39mph+ here, so I'll be keeping a close eye on the projected
path.

 JP>         Keep us posted.  Did you get that scanner home yet ?

Oh, thanks for reminding me.  Yes, it did.  I'll send you a separate
email about that.

 JP>         That Bible CD of yours is going the rounds here, some poeple
 JP>   find it very useful, I must have burned quite a few.

Good.  Looks like the French translation on it is Louis Segond, from
1910.  Is that close to the translation you are familiar with?  I did
see one thing good for a person bi-lingual as yourself - - it will put
the French translation up side by side with your choice of a few
different English translations.

 JP>         Regards to S.

Same to Louise.

 JP>         NB: I just got to NOAA and funky Katrina is really
 JP>   unpredictable. Looks like even I will feel it. I am still at my
 JP>   tearline. You are not far enough inland to have it decrease much in
 JP>   strength, let us hope that you only get the periphery of the HS
 JP>   wind. Tomorrow will be the day.  Good luck and Godbless.

Thanks.  Yes, I just noticed, now that you mention it, that the
low-probability balloon for TS-force winds goes way on up into CDN.

 JP>         Typing at you from N47D 34' and W069d 52'
 JP>                 Kamouraska.

Right at N33D 30' here, so you're knocking on 1000 miles north of us.
I'll bet it is nice and cool up there, too.  Have you caught any
good fish?

- - -  JimH.

.... Gone crazy, be back later, please leave message.
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