發信人: jimg2k@yahoo.com (octogenarian) 日期: 26 Oct 2005 12:27:21 -0700 標題: Re: 渲嗆(Butterfly effect) 信群: alt.chinese.text.big5 看板: 來源: <1130354841.230583.242330@g44g2000cwa.googlegroups.com>:3995, 68.126.200.40 組織: http://groups.google.com You are making things up: The practical consequence of the butterfly effect is that complex systems such as the weather are difficult to predict past a certain time range - approximately a week, in the case of weather. This is because any finite model that attempts to simulate a system must necessarily truncate some information about the initial conditions=E2=80=94for example, when simulating the weather, one would not = be able to include the wind coming from every butterfly's wings. Although in all practical cases, deficiencies in the knowledge of the initial conditions are more important source of error, as are model deficiencies. In a chaotic system, these errors are magnified as the simulation progresses. Thus the predictions of the simulation are useless after a certain finite amount of time. It originated from the chaos theory. .