Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Dec 08 2025 05:17:41

ACUS01 KWNS 080517
SWODY1
SPC AC 080516

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1116 PM CST Sun Dec 07 2025

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe-storm potential appears negligible today through tonight.

....South FL...
With a broad upper trough remaining anchored across the East, an
embedded shortwave impulse will progress across the southern
Appalachians to coastal VA/NC by evening. A surface cold front will
sag south across the remainder of the FL Peninsula. In the wake of
decaying morning convection, adequate boundary-layer heating will be
necessary for redevelopment of midday to afternoon storms along the
front. Large-scale ascent, outside of low-level convergence
attendant to the front, appears nebulous with the region
well-removed from influence of the VA/NC impulse. This combined with
persistently weak mid-level lapse rates should limit convective
vigor. But a locally strong gust or two might occur until the front
progresses into the FL Straits.

...Grams/Thornton.. 12/08/2025

$$

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