Subj : Re: market change due to
To   : Dart
From : Dr. What
Date : Thu Sep 04 2025 07:09:00

-=> Dart wrote to All <=-

 Da> were there programmers among those who answered me? It seems to me that
 Da> many of you underestimate the development of AI in recent years.

No, I think you overestimate the ability of AI.

 Da> perhaps I exaggerated when I said that the profession would disappear
 Da> completely, but already now you can see that there are no more
 Da> vacancies, campaigns are reducing staff, and those who remained thanks
 Da> to the same AI are doing more work.

Only because management has had a few articles about AI read to them that
promise a major cost savings.  It will take some time to go through the whole
1. Wonderful!
2. Why isn't this stuff working right?
3. We don't understand what it does because the AI wrote it.
4. Our customer dropped us because our AI-written code sucks and we can't fix
things quickly.

 Da> speaking of vacancies, I meant vacancies for junior developers.

Yup.  That's what this will hit hardest, sadly.

 Da> that's why I said that now the only
 Da> way is to raise your competence to at least the middle developer,

But while you are raising your competence, you are a jr. developer - without a
job.

IHMO: Any company that thinks that they will replace developers with AI is
going out in a year or so anyway.

Now, that doesn't mean that AI can't be a productivity tool and make us better
developers.  But based on what I've seen of the tools today, we are pretty far
from that.

Right now, the best AI can do is be a manual reader/regurgitator for a
developer.  Maybe, the better AIs can write the boilerplate code for us, but
that would be redundant since most of the non-AI tools that we have today can
already do that.

AIs will probably improve to a better code suggestor, but we aren't there yet.


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