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Author:
Niall Ferguson
Publisher:
Basic Books
(Perseus Books Group)
ISBN:
0-465-05711-X

Review by Tamara Vishkina
My subject is War, and the pity of War,
wrote Wilfred Owen, an English poet who died on the French front in World
War I. In his The Pity of War, Mr. Niall Ferguson, an economic historian
at Oxford, offers a challenging reassessment of the Great War, which, as he
affirms, could have been avoided.
 This encyclopedic and analytical treatise embraces
history, military science, and economics, as well as the lesser-explored avenues
of psychology and literary critique, in relation to the First World War. The
author investigates a great many existing views on the wars causes,
including attempts to justify the war or portray it as inevitable, social
darwinisms great principle of struggle for survival, the
Leninist view that the war was the consequence of imperialist economic rivalries,
and the myth that World War I was caused by the culture of militarism and
uncanny prescient prophecies of pre-war writers. Neither militarism, imperialism,
nor secret diplomacy, as Mr. Ferguson maintains, made the war inevitable.
 He shows the importance of radical forms of religion
and the continuing dominance of the elite in the evolution of radical nationalist
ideology as well as how popular support for the war was a creation of the
media. In his analysis of the role of the arms race, Mr. Ferguson concludes
that the defeated power was the power with the greatest reputation for excessive
militarismGermany. The reason its leaders gambled on the war was their
belief in a weakness which was not due to a lack of economic resources, but
due to political and fiscal constraints; the decentralized federal system
made it impossible for the Reich government to match the defense expenditure
of its more centralized neighbors. He asserts that higher German military
spending before July 1914a more military Germanymight have averted
it.
 He scrutinizes the chain of events which led
to the war, the balance of forces, and the possible outcomes at each stage.
Against popular conceptions, he shows that the most important economic factor
in the early twentieth-century world was not the growth of the German economy,
but British financial power which led to the inclusion of political developments
similar to globalization in the late twentieth century. He contends
that Britain could have limited its involvement in a continental war. Had
Britain not intervened immediately, Germanys war aims would have been
significantly different from those in the September program; no evidence for
prewar Germanys Napoleonic strategy existed.
 Mr. Ferguson infers that the greatest of all
the paradoxes of the First World War is that, despite being economically disadvantaged
in comparison with the Entente Powers, the Central Powers were far more successful
at both inflicting death and taking POWs. The Germans achieved and maintained
a higher level of military effectiveness for most of the war, and their military
victory over Serbia, Rumania, and Russia, despite an immense inferiority in
economic resources, was primarily due to the tactical excellence of the German
army.
 In answering the question Why did men keep
fighting? he explores various aspects of human nature. Morale was only
partly dependent upon discipline. It was also the result of a reward system
that relied on immediate short-term comfort; a subtle way of coping with the
slaughter was religion. But the crucial point, as Mr. Ferguson states, is
that men fought because they did not mind fighting. Freud suggested that the
war made life interesting again because it swept away this
conventional treatment of death.
 The author demonstrates that surrender was the
key to the outcome of the First World War because it proved possible to get
the enemy to yield in such large numbers that his ability to fight was fatally
weakened. Once the Germans lost their fear of surrendering to the Allied army,
the war was over. Another cause of the wars conclusion, Mr. Ferguson
maintains, was that German soldiers were war-weary. However, he
states, for many men who had fought, the violence had become addictive. When
it stopped on the Western Front, they sought it elsewhere. He ruefully muses:
conversely, if more men had taken no prisoners, the war might have carried
on indefinitely. And, then, again, perhaps it did
by other means.
 The Great War, as a turning point in a long-held
stand-off between monarchy and republicanism, gave rise to a number of republics
in Europe, but its victors paid a price far in excess of the value of their
gains. Apart from killing, maiming, and mourning, the war literally and metaphorically
blew up the achievements of a century of economic advance. Mr. Ferguson affirms
that in many ways Germany came out of the war no worse off than Britain, with
the exception of inflation, a product of irresponsible fiscal politics adopted
by the Germans themselves.
 In his research, Mr. Ferguson draws on ample
evidence from a vast variety of sources: military and economic literature,
accounts from newspapers and official documents, personal diaries and memoirs,
poetry and prose. Art and music, with their striking tendency to produce more
pro- than anti-war art and to seek inspiration in the aesthetics of
mass death and destruction, were especially compelling. He presents
an enormous amount of factual information interchanged with counter-factual
digressionshow events might have turned out if circumstances had in
one way or another been altered.
 Apart from the major paradoxes of the First World
War, the book hosts off-center inferences. For example, the author contends
that propaganda had the greatest influence on the social group which matters
least to the war effort: children. He also notes that the real purpose of
war memorials was to transmit the pain to those who had suffered no immediate
loss.
 Yet, interesting though it may be, Mr. Fergusons
idea that a German victory might have brought about a unified Europe and thus
averted World War II, still seems far too conclusive.
 Historic as it is, the book, with its extrapolations
into modern economics and politics, is very contemporary. Hosting a mass of
shrewd observations, it gives the reader a chance to communicate with a fascinating
narrator. It is an elegant and audacious writing, albeit a bit voluminous
and overladen with illustrative charts, diagrams and statistical data. Nonetheless,
the author treats the figures with caution and translates the numbers into
emotions, expectations, and moods. Although his description of political leaders
and diplomats is vivid and convincing, he questions and brings into close
focus the motives behind politicians behavior. Despite the fact that
he might face criticism for tabulating the price of the wars deaths,
his writing is humanistic, penetrative, and compassionate.
 One may find his voice somewhat authoritative,
but it may be seen as a necessary attribute of someone who puts
his arguments on the scales against common opinion. He revises the classic
studies and offers strikingly unexpected answers to almost all aspects of
the war, already sorted out by generations of historians. Undoubtedly, many
will see this book as too controversial, but history hardly can be squeezed
into the tight limits of a multiple choice test. Unfortunately, we cannot
have clear-cut answers to all our questions about the recent events, let alone
the historically distant calamity, but The Pity of War is an opportunity
to revise our perceptions about the things we seem to already know.
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Tamara Vishkina, a chemist, holds an MS in Biophysics (Moscow University, Russia), and a Ph.D. in Chemistry (Kiev University, Ukraine). She writes poetry and has several publications in The Paumanok Review and the International Library of Poetry's anthologies. She lives in Brooklyn, New Yorl with her college student daughter.