Subject: Speech by Outgoing G77 Chair (fwd) Date: Fri, 11 Mar 1994 10:50:25 +1030 (CST) FORWARDED MESSAGE: From the Progressive Economists Network > Jim Craven > > > > > > G77 CHAIRMAN CRITICISES URUGUAY > ROUND OUTCOME AS AGAINST THE SOUTH > > ------------------------------------------- > > In his speech as outgoing Chairman of the Group of 77 (a > negotiating grouping which today encompasses over a hundred > developing nations), Luis Fernando Jaramillo of Colombia presents > a sweeping critique of North-South relations. He traces the > decline of the Third World in global affairs and the rising power > of the Northern-controlled Bretton Woods institutions at the > expense of the United Nations and multilateral processes. He > concludes his review with a sharp analysis of the recently > concluded Uruguay Round which he says provides a clear example > of how the South has lost out in global relations. > The following is the text of the speech presented in New > York in January this year: > > > ALMOST 30 years ago, when the Group of 77 was founded along with > UNCTAD, multilateralism had a favourable climate and the > international agenda was more and more responsive to the > inclinations and needs of the developing countries. Today that > context is markedly different. We have to face a much more > complex and difficult environment. > In contrast to the euphoria created by the end of the Cold > War, the changes in Eastern Europe, the reforms of economic > liberalisation, the new concepts of sustainable development and > the conclusion of the Uruguay Round of GATT, the developing > nations continue to face, at the dawn of the 21st century, a > hostile international environment and a loss of economic and > political standing in the so-called New World Order. While it > is true that some progress has been observed in some developing > countries, the list of adversities remains and in many cases has > grown. The welfare of the majority of our peoples is either > non-existent or stagnant at best. The deterioration of our human > resources continues to be more pronounced. > Despite signs of sustained growth on the part of some Asian > countries and that several Latin American nations show certain > symptoms of recovery, the general outlook for the developing > countries continues to be uncertain and unstable. In the case > of the African countries, the situation is sorrowful. There > underdevelopment has its most alarming expression. There, human > suffering has reached dimensions unknown in other parts of the > world. It is there where the most chronic process of > pauperisation can be observed. Far from being overcome, it has > grown worse. It is expected that in 1994 once again the rate of > economic growth will be below the rate of growth of the > population. If these trends are not reversed, want, hunger, war > and all its painful consequences will continue to be observed. > We fail to understand why the international community does not > take the measures nor allocate the resources necessary to help > the African countries face the acute crisis they are > experiencing. The international community is responsible in great > part for this crisis. > The dramatic changes that continue to occur in shaping a new > world structure of power make our work much more complex. > Instead of the so-called New World Order, we are witnessing the > emergence of sources of profound economic, political and social > disorder. In several countries new and obscure anti-democratic > forces have emerged. At the same time, developing countries > continue to be subjected to constant pressures to weaken or > abandon our collective interest for constructing a truly free and > just world. In the new balance of power, the relative situation > of the developing world has worsened ostensibly. Any dissent of > our countries from the position of the countries of the North is > now labelled as confrontational, even by ourselves. In practice, > we have less political influence and less priority in the > international agenda. > For years the Group of 77 has been involved in intense and > complicated negotiations with the developed countries which have > varied from the most minute issues, many a times of little > consequence, to the definition of grand strategies and global > development programmes. In truth, many of these have ended up > as simple reference literature or have served to enlarge the > archives of the United Nations. Whether consciously or > unconsciously, the Group has accepted to be submerged in a scene > of linguistic negotiations, procedural discussions, grandiloquent > discourses and in the elaboration of an immense volume of > resolutions, many of them having little, if any practical effect. > Frequently we find ourselves lost in the trees without the > perspective of the forest. The limited real impact and the > scarce results in favour of the developing world bear no relation > to the magnitude of efforts and the attrition of negotiations. > No matter how excellent the conduct of the Chairmanship of the > Group is, the concrete effects of its work are practically > imperceptible. > > Closed decision-making circles > > In the meanwhile, the strategy of the developed countries > continues to be clearly directed at strengthening more and more > the economic institutions and agencies that operate outside the > United Nations system. Many subjects that are vital for the > international community and the Third World are kept out of the > purview of said system and taken to closed decision-making > circles. Such is the case of the Group of 7, a forum in which > the interests of the developing countries have either been taken > into account marginally or been completely ignored. The Group > of 7 has only been concerned with promoting a North-North > dialogue. It has not had the developing world as its > interlocutor. > The Bretton Woods institutions for their part continue to > be made the centre of gravity for the principal economic > decisions that affect the developing countries. We have all been > witnesses to the conditionalities of the World Bank and the > International Monetary Fund. We all know the nature of the > decision-making system in such institutions. Their undemocratic > character, their lack of transparency, their dogmatic principles, > their lack of pluralism in the debate of ideas and their > impotence to influence the policies of the industrialised > countries. We all know the way in which structural changes are > imposed and how projects are formulated. And how subsequently, > when many of those policies and projects fail, their authors > disappear from the facilities of Pennsylvania Avenue. Nobody is > then accountable for anything. > This also seems to be applicable to the new World Trade > Organisation. The terms of its creation suggest that this > organisation will be dominated by the industrialised countries > and that its fate will be to align itself with the World Bank and > the International Monetary Fund. We could announce in advance the > birth of a New Institutional Trinity which would have as its > specific function to control and dominate the economic relations > that commit the developing world. Even the designation of the new > institution as World Trade Organisation was rejected at the last > minute in the Uruguay Round. This seemingly nominal change > conceals a different intention. The institutional reform of GATT > is directed at bringing about, in the area of trade, a further > weakening of the United Nations, the only multilateral mechanism > in which the developing countries can have some say. > Therefore, there is an evident trend to systematically > limit the role of the United Nations as an economic forum. Its > capacity continues to be eclipsed and eroded by the > aforementioned institutions. But the problem is not only > expressed in the imbalance with the latter. The internal > functioning of the Organisation is also subjected to continuous > demands to devote greater efforts to peacekeeping operations and > security in detriment of its functions and responsibilities in > the area of economic and social development. > As a result of the above, there has been a progressive > reduction in the effective capacity of the Group of 77 to exert > influence on the international centres of economic > decision-making and to deal with the unilateral practices of the > developed countries. No institutional economic forum exists in > which decisions are adopted on the basis of discussions and > negotiations that incorporate the aspirations and interests of > the developing countries. Nor does a forum exist in which the > industrialised countries make effective commitments before the > international community in the area of coordination and > stabilisation of their macro-economic policies. > The lessons learned from the UNCTAD Conference in > Cartagena, the Rio Summit, the last meetings of the General > Assembly, the conclusion of the Uruguay Round and other recent > negotiations, show the critical importance for developing > countries of having a collective strategy available to them. We > must recognise that the Group of 77 lacks an elaborated and > comprehensive position which responds both to the specific issues > as well as to the more general problems of the international > agenda. On many occasions the position of our countries comes > about as a reaction to the initiatives and unilateral moves of > the industrialised countries and of the institutions that are at > their service. > > We are fragile to pressures and weak to the appeal of > particular interests and aspirations. Many a time we fall in the > temptation of rhetorical discourse as a pretext for not harming > resource flows from the North or bilateral preferential > treatments. The industrialised countries and their institutions > know this vulnerability and this ambivalence very well. They are > used to establish new conditionalities, to interfere in the > domestic affairs and to transfer the international responsibility > over to the national policies of the developing countries. In > the meantime, the developed countries elude their own > responsibilities. Their policies, despite the profound impact > they have, remain outside the sphere of influence of the rest of > the countries which make up the international community. > > The Group should articulate a global strategy that may > enable it to respond adequately to changes that take place in the > world scene and which may translate into true negotiating > capacity. Otherwise we will progressively continue to be > marginalised from the real world and our influence on the latter > will continue to be virtually non-existent. A key component of > this strategy should be the review of the functioning of the > Chapters of the Group of 77. Up to now the latter have acted in > a dislocated manner and without clear goals, which is reflected > in the weakness of their positions and in their lack of > continuity and dynamism. The disadvantage of the developing > countries ultimately resides in the lack of a firm political > platform. This is an issue which should be discussed in depth > urgently in a Ministerial Summit of the Group. This cannot be > put off. > > International economic relations are most definitely power > relations. It is not easy that the countries which exert control > in the prevailing international system accept reforms aimed at > correcting the prevailing economic and institutional > inequalities. Only the determined joint action by the countries > of the South, based on clear development policies, a better > utilisation of their resources and capabilities and a solid > strategy of economic cooperation, may offer possibilities for > changing the current system of relations. > > In its 30 years of existence, the Group of 77 has striven > to defend the interests of its member countries. Yet the voids > are noticeable. There is still a long way to go. Our main duty > is to build and preserve the unity of the developing countries > and to accommodate its different concerns and aspirations without > jeopardising the basic objectives of the Group. The strength of > the latter must rest on the clarity of its objectives, the > effectiveness of its mechanisms, its unity and its internal > cohesion. Only in that way will it be more real and less formal. > The Group of 77 has an enormous potential for making use of its > influence. Therefore, our duty is to persevere in the efforts > to achieve its effective consolidation. The celebration of the > 30th anniversary of the creation of the Group of 77 represents > a particularly valuable opportunity for an in-depth review of its > role and the formulation of concrete institutional proposals to > give it new legitimacy and energy. > > The remainder of the present decade will be decisive for > the Third World. The Agenda for Development and other related > issues dealing with cooperation, growth and the development of > our countries will define, in one way or another, the course of > relations with the developed countries and our participation or > non-participation in the benefits of the world economy. We must > be cognizant that if the Group of 77 does not respond adequately > to these challenges, the consequences will be a source of new > frustrations and despair. We should not spare any effort to make > the Group a united and strong front around basic principles and > a different strategy. It is the duty of all to strengthen it and > to work with the necessary creativity and commitment to move from > the abstract discussions to specific achievements. Otherwise we > would have failed history, and worse yet, we would have failed > those numerous peoples and billions of beings who place their > hopes in the construction of a more just, equitable, democratic > and free world. > > The manner in which the negotiations of the Uruguay Round > of GATT were conducted is a clear example of the weakness of the > developing world. As we noted in our recent statement to the > Second Committee of the General Assembly on the issue of Trade > and Development, the scheme of negotiations that dominated the > Uruguay Round was fragmentary and lacking in transparency. The > industrialised countries concentrated on making their own deals > in negotiations that took place outside normal channels. Their > strategy was to arrive a few hours before the deadline for the > completion of negotiations with an agreement that was presented > as a fait accompli to which the developing countries had no > choice but to accept it without any change. To the disconcertment > of the developing countries was added their lack of organisation, > the clear inclination to resolve their own individual problems > first and even the emergence of contradictory positions among > them. In Geneva our countries negotiate individually on their > own, without a holistic vision. Of course, in such a scheme the > most adversely affected are the weakest countries. > Unquestionably, the developing countries are th e losers both > individually and collectively. > > The Uruguay Round is proof again that the developing world > continues to be sidelined and rejected when it comes to defining > areas of vital importance for their survival. In said Round the > developing countries, which are the overwhelming majority in > GATT, a fact that seemed to have been of no good, limited > themselves to wait and observe. > > Despite insisting that the negotiations were global in > character, the countries of the North refused in the end to > accept any discussions, even bilaterally, with the countries of > the Third World. Our negotiators were frustrated in their > attempts to find interlocutors among the partners of the North. > They found themselves alone in the corridors and rooms of GATT > with the only hope to have access to information on the > negotiations that were taking place. The lack of negotiating > leadership on the part of the countries of the South, their > disunity and their fear of generating antagonistic positions > against the industrialised countries were taken advantage of by > the latter which led the Third World to confine itself to a role > of passive spectator of the decisions adopted. It seems that the > developing countries have forgotten that in a negotiation process > only those who have negotiating leadership count, those who > defend with courage their principles and their positions. Let's > see how that got reflected in several of the areas of decision: > > One of the principal issues for the developing countries, > that of bilateral negotiations on market access, was left > unresolved. The countries of the Third World have been put in a > situation in which they already paid the price of accepting the > new terms in different areas of interest for the industrialised > countries, without obtaining in exchange satisfactory conditions > of market access. It will be difficult to expect that the > developed countries will be ready to enter into a substantive > negotiation by the agreed deadline of 15 February 1994 to allow > for the introduction of necessary adjustments and correctives, > since there is no incentive nor interest for doing so. > > The modalities and commitments in the area of reduction > of agricultural subsidies and the tariffifcation of the > instruments of market access in this sector show that the > reduction will take place in a proportion and at a rate well > below expectations. The impact on prices would be reflected in > the year 2000. The developing countries will continue to be > subjected to the effects of the huge agricultural subsidies > applied by the industrialised countries and to quantitative > restrictions that prevent them from capitalising on their > markets. In some cases, the only result achieved was a marginal > increase in the import quotas which was offered in exchange for > export countries giving up on their demands against those > restrictions which violated GATT. > With regard to the termination of the Multi-Fibres > Agreement, projected for the year 2005, it should be borne in > mind that it derived from the commitment made at Punta del Este, > which assumed a termination without reciprocity. A minimum > compensation to export countries was implicit following thirty > years of discriminatory measures in that sector. The developing > countries had to absorb, however, a high price in other areas of > negotiation. According to the agreed terms, it may be expected > that the industrialised countries will maintain restrictions on > textiles and apparel until at least the seventh year of the > decade foreseen for the termination of the Multi-Fibres Agreement > and that in the case of sensitive products, which happen to be > the ones of most interest to our countries, those restrictions > will be maintained until the last year. It is not unlikely that > new attempts will be made to perpetuate them. > > Some developed countries exerted until the last minute > pressures to amend the provisions on antidumping measures. The > interest of the majority of importers is none other than > preserving the discretion of their national authorities and > maintaining control of their markets against competing > commodities, particularly those from developing countries. As > a result, and despite the improvements introduced, the objective > of achieving a multilateral trading system based on clear and > transparent rules which would give security to export countries, > faded for the most part. Once again, the market economy in which > the most efficient, the best quality and the best prices prevail, > was soundly defeated. > > The special and differential treatment to developing > countries provided for by the Punta del Este Declaration was > object of permanent distortion during the Uruguay Round. The > results of the latter should be evaluated in order to verify the > application of such treatment and to introduce, if necessary, the > pertinent correctives. To that end, the Secretariat of GATT > circulated last December a document which was regarded by many > delegations as weak and anachronistic. The document in question > is based on the Draft Final Act of December 1991. It does not > take into account, for instance, two years of negotiations. > > While it purports to be illustrative of econometric > projections on the effect of the Uruguay Round on the trade and > income of developing countries, it is dispersed and confusing in > the assessment proper of the commitments made at Punta del Este. > In the end, the developed countries have been the ones to benefit > from special and differential treatment. They have been allowed > to keep subsidies, such as in the agricultural sector, and > quantitative restrictions, such as in textile and apparel trade. > Developing countries have received little or nothing as far as > special and differential treatment is concerned. > > It is clear, on the other hand, that in accordance with > existing exportable supply, the tariff reductions which > developing countries could take advantage of, apart from being > inferior to the ones initially foreseen, are proportionally less > deep than the tariff reductions that will benefit trade among > developed countries. According to some estimates, the > industrialised countries, which make up only 20% of the > membership of GATT, will appropriate 70% of the additional income > that will be generated by the implementation of the Uruguay > Round. > > It would seem that this quick overview does not allow one > to conclude that the Uruguay Round will translate into a positive > balance to developing countries. While the results were > insufficient in several crucial areas of interest to our > countries, and in some cases those results remain to be > clarified, the concessions granted to the countries of the North > are notorious. To cite but one example, the concessions granted > in areas such as intellectual property, investment and services. > > After the frenzy over the conclusion of the negotiations > passes, time will confirm which countries will really benefit. > For the time being, it can be affirmed that the conclusion of the > Uruguay Round will not lead by itself to the abolition of managed > trade, unilateral and bilateral restrictive measures and all > types of protectionist practices which were supposed to fade > away. > > I paused to refer to the GATT negotiations not only > becasue of the current nature of the subject and because of the > lessons it teach us regarding the treatment received by the > countries of the Third World, but because of the transcendence > that trade exchange has for our countries. Neither official > development assistance, nor technical assistance, nor credit > resource flows, nor any other aspect of international cooperation > match the paramount importance and determinant nature that trade > has for the developing world. > > Luis Fernando Jaramillo is Permanent Representative of Colombia > to the UN and was Chairman of the Group of 77, until January > 1994. He was also formerly Foreign Minister of Colombia. -ends- > > > *---------------------------*----------------------------------------* > * James Craven * "The great paradox [contradiction] of * > * Dept of Economics * a global consumer democracy is that * > * Clark College * the right to pleasure and happiness, * > * 1800 E. McLoughlin Blvd. * the right to choice in the present, * > * Vancouver, Wa. 98663 * may well be a toxic elixir we are * > * (206) 699-0283 * forcing our children to drink. If man, * > * cravjm@ooi.clark.edu * the marginal parasite, turns the * > * * earth into a dead artifact, the dream * > * * of material pleasure will have * > * * murdered life itself. In order to * > * * survive the triumph of our ideals, we * > * * need a new definition of the sacred." * > * * (Jacques Attali, "Millenium") * > * * > * MY EMPLOYER HAS NO ASSOCIATION WITH MY PRIVATE/PROTECTED OPINIONS * > -- Manjit Bhatia Graduate Student (PhD) Politics Department University of Adelaide Adelaide 5005 Australia mbhatia@chomsky.arts.adelaide.edu.au