- Chapter 8 - - LaRouche's Program for 6 Million New Jobs - By now, it is almost accepted wisdom that the United States economy has been in a sharp decline since 1973. Wages and living standards have gone down, debt in both the public and private sectors has skyrocketed, and the productive sector of the economy has shrunk to a pitiful shadow of our country's former greatness. Lyndon LaRouche is the only presidential candidate who forecast that this would happen, if the policy of usury and post-industrialism adopted in the 1960s were not changed. LaRouche's approach has been consistent. While others have demanded austerity and budget cuts, he has insisted that the economy will be put back on track only if 1) the fiat money policies of the Federal Reserve are replaced by those of sound national banking with gold-reserve backing at low interest rates; and 2) credit is applied to creating millions of jobs in the productive sector of the economy, including industry, agriculture, transportation, and other infrastructure. The fundamental problem with the economy is that it has subordinated people's welfare, to the demands of the bankers. As a result, real production has been replaced by the post-industrial service economy. The source of the problem, LaRouche has insisted over and over again, is that the portion of the work force employed in productive jobs has declined from 50% in 1940 to less than 20% today. - A Third National Bank - In 1976, when he first ran for President, LaRouche proposed the Emergency Employment Act, which called for the Congress to declare an economic emergency, put the government through bankruptcy reorganization, and put the country back to work rebuilding itself and the world. He combined this program with the demand to replace the Federal Reserve with a Third National Bank of the United States, which would invest preferentially in infrastructure and high-technology development. Many Americans are programmed to respond negatively to the idea of a national bank. But Alexander Hamilton, our first Treasury Secretary and founder of the American System of economics, conceived of it as a way to ensure that we became an independent nation, with credit available for necessary manufacturing and infrastructure. Together with a policy of selective tariffs and taxation which promotes investment and penalizes speculation, such a national bank is an essential protection for private industry and agriculture. By contrast, Gerry Ford called for continuing the austerity program of the Nixon administration. The Democrats, led by Jimmy Carter, were even more aggressive in demanding ``conservation'' and energy cutbacks, which led to both a domestic and international economic disaster. This led to the Federal Reserve Bank taking drastic measures in the fall of 1979, by hiking interest rates up over 20%. On October 16, 1979 Democratic presidential candidate LaRouche said: ``I herewith submit a demand for the prompt impeachment of recently appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Paul A. Volcker.... As one of the world's leading economists, I have caused my staff to conduct a computer-based analysis of the near-term consequences of Volcker's measures. Those results, coinciding with the estimates of other analysts reporting independently, indicate that the measures already enacted by Volcker will cause a 15% recession in the U.S. economy, probably putting the United States into a recession twice as severe as that of 1974. ``There are two immediate measures which would ameliorate the present crisis. First, U.S. gold reserves must be valued at an adjusted current world market value, a value to be negotiated with both the European Monetary System member-nations and the OPEC `petrodollars' holders. This would stabilize the value of the dollar and take the worst pressures off dollar liquidity. Second, the Federal Reserve must immediately implement the kind of selective credit-flow controls which Senator Sarbanes proposed.'' The Volcker measures went ahead and the projected plunge in production did occur. The collapse in production which LaRouche projected occurred. To compensate, the Reagan-Bush administration launched the most massive binge of speculation and ``creative'' financing ever seen, through a process of deregulation, leveraged buyouts, debt rollovers, and real estate ``development.'' And all of this with money borrowed at Volcker's usurious interest rates. - The Debt Bubble - That is one reason why the federal expenditures for interest on the debt have gone sky high ({Figure 1}), and we have no economic growth to show for it. That's one of the basic reasons for the explosion in debt in all areas of the U.S. economy--to over $21 trillion today ({Figure 2 }and{ Figure 3}). LaRouche addressed the problem again in his 1984 presidential campaign. On February 4, 1984, in an ABC-TV broadcast, LaRouche said: ``I propose specifically this. That we `federalize' our Federal Reserve System according to Article 1, Sections 8 and 9 of our federal Constitution. We shall take away from the Fed its power to print money as it chooses ... we shall prevent the Fed from continuing to operate its favorite game, that inflationary `Keynesian multiplier.' [Then,] to supply an adequate amount of credit to our private banks, to get the economy going again, the Congress must authorize an initial issue of about $500 billions of gold-reserve currency notes.... These notes must be loaned at discount rates between 2% and 4%, for the kinds of loans that I shall indicate to you--manufacturing, and capital improvements in basic economic infrastructure. The purpose is to put 5 million or more of our unemployed back to work fairly quickly, and to get our farms and factories moving again.'' {What did the White House and the Democratic Party leadership say?} They {agreed} on the ``Gramm-Rudman'' strategy, that cutting the budget deficit took priority over stimulating the economy or anything else. {What do they say now?} After three years of deep cuts and soaring budget deficits ({Figure 4)}, they admit that their strategy was a failure, and a straitjacket against dealing with the depression, as LaRouche said it would be in 1987. As a result of the Federal Reserve's policy of fostering banking deregulation and speculation, we saw the collapse of the savings and loan industry, some of the largest commercial bank failures in modern history, and a scandalous series of leveraged buyouts followed by forced bankruptcies, after the companies could not pay for the debt they incurred. In his 1988 campaign, LaRouche addressed the question of the Federal Reserve again. As he wrote in {A Program for America} when he launched his campaign: ``There are two fundamental shifts which must be made in order to bring the United States into an actual economic recovery, in contrast to the deepening depression which administration public-relations men call `the recovery' today. First and foremost, the U.S. government must take back its sovereign authority over the creation of credit. This means either the elimination of the Federal Reserve Bank, or a drastic reform of that institution, which puts the authority for control of credit and the currency back in the hands of Congress, where it constitutionally belongs.'' Every other national candidate has avoided this issue, arguing that the federal budget must be cut, or that lending should be extended through the current banking system, especially at consumer credit rates of 16 to 22%. This will simply make the crisis worse, because credit will not be directed into the vital wealth-producing areas of the economy. After the debt crisis had strangled corporations and governmental bodies to near-death, President Bush began to demand that the Federal Reserve lower interest rates. But, by then it was too late for such lowerings--which have brought rates down to dramatic lows--to have any appreciable effect in bringing the economy out of depression. - Six Million Back to Work - In December 1991, candidate LaRouche reiterated what has to be done to reverse the depression: ``My recovery program depends on the initial action of federalizing, nationalizing, the Federal Reserve System. That is, to take away its status as a quasi-independent corporation controlled by bankers, and to make it an institution of the U.S. government, the kind of bank that the United States Bank represented under President George Washington. ``This bank would be a means, not for emitting currency, but for putting federal currency, legal tender, out as loans at very low interest rates to get the economy moving. ``We are talking about loans on the order of magnitude of over $300 billion a year for public works, and a comparable amount of lending into the private sector for investment primarily in employment in high-tech and engineering types of activity. ``We are talking about 3 million people in the public sector, working for federal, state, and local infrastructure projects, such as railway projects, water system projects, power system projects.... ``We are talking about, on the other side, another 3 million people at least, employed as a result of vendor agreements, which are made with spinoffs of these public projects. ``So we are talking about an increase in employment of about 6 million people within a year.'' The interest rates on such loans would be between 2% and 4%. How would the money be paid back? Through increased tax revenues as a result of the productive economic activity that would be generated! The creation of skilled jobs and the construction of infrastructure to support the retooling and reindustrialization of our economy, is the only way of increasing a tax base ravaged by debt creation and declines in employment. If we're going to get out of this depression, we're going to need a flow of credit from a national bank. LaRouche has proposed it since 1976--and people are paying for not having listened. In the 1992 election, American citizens have one more chance. ---- John Covici covici@ccs.covici.com