TRANSCRIPT OF ABC-TV NATIONAL BROADCAST The following was authorized and paid for by Democrats for Economic Recovery -- LaRouche in '92. "The Man George Bush Fears the Most" Feb. 1, 1992 Opens to video of postering squad in Houston with green poster "LaRouche: the only opponent George Bush feared enough to put in prison" prominently displayed on the screen. ANNOUNCER: Lyndon LaRouche is running for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States. He would be here to tell you that himself, but he is in a federal prison in Rochester, Minnesota. By the end of this broadcast, you will understand why George Bush fears LaRouche, and why he put him -- and keeps him -- in a federal prison. This is not a "protest campaign." Lyndon LaRouche is not offering good ideas for other people to implement. The U.S. economy is now in a full-scale depression; our nation is in the worst social crisis since the Civil War; and, American foreign policy is pitifully lagging behind events around the world. Lyndon LaRouche told you that these disasters were coming -- many of you heard his warnings in broadcasts on national television since 1980. The United States will not survive as a great nation, if we once again elect a president who cannot grasp how bad things really are, how we got into this mess, and how we must get out of it. The only candidate in either party who has shown these qualifications is Lyndon LaRouche -- and LaRouche must be freed from prison now, to implement the solutions to our economic and foreign policy crises. Think back over the 1980s, over the 12 years of the Reagan-Bush-Administrations; think back over the incredible changes that have occurred in the world: the collapse of the iron curtain; the collapse of the American economy; large parts of Africa and Asia now on the verge of extinction due to mass starvation, and diseases like AIDS and cholera. You're asking yourself: who could have foressen these mind-boggling changes? Only a master of economic and foreign policy could have seen such things on the horizon. Tonight, we will show you that Lyndon LaRouche is that man. Every major problem which now haunts you, your children and your grandchildren, was forecast by LaRouche since 1980. In every case, he produced detailed proposals to solve the predicted crisis. If you had listened to Lyndon LaRouche in 1980, in 1984, in 1988, then we would not be in this mess. Lyndon LaRouche's economic forecasts have been particularly accurate throughout the 1980s. During that decade, he made 25 nationally-broadcast addresses, highlighting the collapse of America's physical economy since the violent end of the John F. Kennedy Administration. LaRouche repeatedly warned you that the disastrous decline in America's industrial and agricultural capacity--our transition to a so-called post-industrial economy--would spell disaster. During 1979, LaRouche assembled a task force to analyze the effects of the high interest rate policies of Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker and the new drive for deregulation started by the Carter Administration. At the end of 1979, LaRouche's task force started publishing the forecast that these de-industrialization policies would produce a new, deep recession in the real economy. Other forecasters predicted nothing but recovery. In 1981, LaRouche warned that the international banking system, led by the International Monetary Fund, was temporarily hiding its problems through the genocidal looting of the poor nations of the Third World. He stated that the debt burden of the Ibero-American nations, particularly Mexico, had become explosive and unpayable. In 1982, LaRouche wrote "Operation Juarez," a proposal for the orderly disposition of the southern continent's debt in the context of regional economic development. In August of 1982, the Mexican debt situation went into unmanageable crisis. Although LaRouche's "Operation Juarez" had the support of many leading figures in Ibero-America, in October 1982, it was vigorously blocked by Henry Kissinger and the Reagan-Bush Administration. This Reagan-Bush Administration sabotage of "Operation Juarez" only made matters worse as LaRouche reported in a 1984 national broadcast: LAROUCHE: ``Many of you know, that since the Mexico crisis of August, 1982, the U.S. and European banking systems have been hanging over a cliff four times a year. At the end of each quarter, increasing numbers of nations around the world -- not just in Latin America -- are unable to meet payments due on their foreign debts. So far, each time this has occurred -- four times a year -- the IMF and Washington have announced some last minute debt bailout miracle, and our silly Secretary of the Treasury, Donald Regan, announces that all of our problems on that front are solved. Then comes the next quarterly crisis, and the same swindle is played out all over again. "In fact, nothing has been solved. A few bookkeeping tricks of the kind that would send corporate officials to prison -- if they copied the New York bankers' bookkeeping tricks -- have postponed the crisis, by methods which have made the next round of crisis more explosive each quarter. "What the United States Government has done, by supporting the International Monetary Fund, and Kissinger's New York bankers, is to loot the U.S. dollar, and to loot the indebted nations, both at the same time. We are being looted, to bail out bad bankers, in a scheme which must collapse very soon." (From "While Washington's Politicians are Sleeping" national broadcast, April 27, 1984) ANNOUNCER: At the same time as he was warning of the suicidal economic policies of Henry Kissinger and the International Monetary Fund, LaRouche was offering his own plans for large-scale development projects to get the world economy moving again. LAROUCHE: ``Tonight, I'm going to tell you about the method by which I'm going to bring 3 million jobs into the United States, only through the export of capital goods to foreign countries -- and related goods, of course. This will be in addition to the five million jobs which we also know we can create within the United States by reforming the policies of the Federal Reserve system. In other words, a total of 8 million jobs.'' (From "Great Projects" national broadcast, March 17, 1984) ANNOUNCER: As LaRouche was speaking in March 1984, the response of the Reagan-Bush administration was to blithely claim that there had been ``17 months of uninterrupted economic growth.'' Instead of LaRouche, global development, and debt and banking reform, you, the American people, voted for four more years of the ``Herbert Hoover recovery'' of the Reagan-Bush administration -- for four more years of what used to be called ``voodoo economics.'' RONALD REAGAN: "Our policies were designed to give you a chance to do what you do best. They were intended to release the American Dream from its cell, so that enterprising visionaries like you could tune up the accelerator, fill up the tank, and step on the gas of the greatest machine for beating poverty and building prosperity that the world has ever known: the American Free Enterprise System." (From speech before the Independent Business Conference) ANNOUNCER: There WERE more jobs during the second Reagan-Bush administration -- but they were low-paying service jobs. On November 8, 1986 -- over five years ago -- LaRouche again warned: LAROUCHE: ``The Reagan `economic upsurge' never occurred, and under present U.S. economic policies, the United States is sliding into a new world depression. A spiral of indebtedness of government, consumers, and businesses has been promoted, to attempt to conceal the depressive effects of bad, `post-industrial' economic policies, by promoting a wild spree of buying on credit.'' (From "The Recovery That Never Was" special report, November 8, 1986) ANNOUNCER: What did White House spokesmen say in November 1986? They said: ``there is no problem; we have just completed 49 months of uninterrupted economic recovery.'' On May 26, 1987, after surveying the growth of leveraged buy-outs, junk bonds, and the consumer credit bubble, Lyndon LaRouche made a startling forecast: LAROUCHE: ``A crash in October would not be absolutely certain, but it would be at least a very good guess. This forecast is based on the observation, that even now, President Reagan is clinging stubbornly to a belief in a `Reagan economic recovery' which never actually occurred.'' (From "Global Financial Crisis Predicted for October" pamphlet, May 26, 1987.) ANNOUNCER: In October, the stock and bond markets DID crash, just as LaRouche forecast. What was the response from the White House? DAVID BRINKLEY; ``Why are we having a stock market crash?'' BERYL SPRINKEL: ``Well, the one thing that we know, is that it's not the cause of weakness in the economy, as you indicate. It's growing well; the inflation rate is coming down. I don't think anyone knows for sure." (October 5, 1987) ANNOUNCER: During the 1988 Presidential campaign, LaRouche explained that the October '87 crash was a signal that the U.S. economy was, in fact, fatally weak, and going into the final phase of a complete depression breakdown: LAROUCHE: "In the United States, and around the world, the situation is terribly frightening. The drug pandemic is destroying the bodies, minds, and souls of youth in every part of the world. Entire nations are being destroyed by drug-financed international terrorism. "During the middle of the 1970's, there was the worst genocide of the century in Cambodia. But now, famine and disease are wiping whole African nations from the map. Here in the United States, our farmers are being driven into bankruptcy, while the world as a whole is plunged into the worst food crisis of the century. Our industries are collapsing, while 40 million Americans are below the poverty line. And a majority of our debt-ridden people are much less well-off than their families were 20 years ago. (From "Winter of Our Discontent" national broadcast, October 31, 1988) LAROUCHE: "We are now at the brink of the worst world-wide financial crisis-collapse in modern times. The international financial crisis we are experiencing today, is the direct result of those policy decisions, made by the Reagan-Bush Administration, during October 1982. If you look into the financial figures, you will see, that beginning October 1982, the U.S. banking system began to build up the biggest international financial bubble in history. As a result of President Reagan's continuing the policies he adopted during October 1982, U.S. financial income zoomed over the five years from October 1982 to October 1987. But the level of physical production inside the United States collapsed at a rate of between two and five percent a year -- during 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, and 1987. "As a direct result of the President's rejecting my proposal, U.S. export markets collapsed, leading to the terribly dangerous balance-of-payments crisis we are facing today. During the five years of the so-called Reagan recovery, our infrastructure rotted away, more and more of the most productive farms in the world were pushed into bankruptcy, while industries collapsed, and more and more communities and families were pushed into misery. This rot, bankruptcy, and misery is what the President called his ``recovery.'' (From "Test of Fire" national broadcast, April 5, 1988) ANNOUNCER: Even after LaRouche was railroaded into prison, a little over three years ago, he maintained a steady stream of programmatic material and warnings that the United States was continuing its slide into depression. On July 4, 1989, LaRouche produced a pamphlet which opened with the judgment: LAROUCHE: ``Coming generations will remember President George Bush for the worst crisis to have struck these United States in more than one hundred years. Among these crises will be the deepest financial collapse of this century.'' (From "The Great Crisis of 1989-92" pamphlet, July 4, 1989) ANNOUNCER: What did President Bush do over the first three years of his administration? First, he denied that there was even a recession; then, he admitted to a minor recession, but claimed that the recovery had already begun. Finally, a few weeks ago, on January 15, 1992, President Bush told the people of New Hampshire: GEORGE BUSH: ``Last year, 49 out of 50 blue-ribbon economists said there would be a recovery by this year. They were wrong, and I was wrong.'' ANNOUNCER: Do you think that President Bush has been listening to the wrong people? No! You, the American voter, have been listening to the wrong people. We are not in a ``recession,'' or a ``double-dip recession,'' or a ``slow recovery.'' We are in a depression. It's obvious to a competent economist like Lyndon LaRouche, and it's obvious to the man on the street. People who think that you must have a stock market crash to have a depression, like in 1929, simply don't understand how the physical economy works. LaRouche warned of this kind of thinking in a message, taped from prison shortly before this past Thanksgiving: LAROUCHE: ``Many people have been looking for a definitive one-day, two-day, three-day financial crash, perhaps on the markets, with the New York Dow-Jones (sometimes called Baby Jones) Index, collapsing 500 or 1000 points or something like that. What they are seeing is something a bit different. What they are seeing is the great mudslide of 1991. ``By mudslide, I refer, by comparison, to the eruption of, say, a Hawaiian-style volcano. The mud comes sliding down inch by inch, hour by hour, approaching the villages and the sea. As the mud reaches the sea, a bit flakes off today, a bit flakes off tomorrow, a bit flakes off the next day. ``What has happened is this: it is not so much that the stock market has collapsed, as that the underlying financial system as a whole -- the Anglo-American, London-New York-Washington financial system--has collapsed. "The banks are bankrupt, the life insurance and other insurance companies are in deep trouble, the pension funds have been looted by the junk bond dealers such as Michael Milken and Kohlberg Kravis Roberts with their crazy junk bonds. Other things are looted. "State governments are bankrupt, municipal governments are bankrupt, the federal government is bankrupt, and the federal government and state governments and corporations are stuck with something on the order of $24-25 trillion of unpayable combined public and private, on-balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet liabilities. "This, Europe has seen and the Japanese have seen, and Europe and Japan are saying that the financial system of the United States is something to stay as far away from as possible. "As the financial system weakens, George Bush's political power weakens, and his ability to clobber the Europeans and Japan into making large subsidies to Wall Street is no longer as great as before. "So, down and down and down we go--not all at once, but day by day, hour by hour, inch by inch, the Great Mud-Slide that carries the United States into a financial collapse and depression far worse than anything in the 1930s, is now on full tilt." (From November 23, 1991 audio recording) ANNOUNCER: Lyndon LaRouche's mastery of the science of physical economy is matched by his expertise in foreign policy. Now, the pundits on television and in the newspapers tell us that, although President Bush is weak on domestic issues, his popularity will come from his so-called ``brilliant foreign policy.'' These commentators add, correctly, that the five other Democratic contenders besides LaRouche barely have a foreign policy, outside of bashing our trading partners in Asia and Europe. Let's take a few examples. One of the most dangerous hotspots in the world today is the Balkans. The Yugoslav Federation has broken up, and there is now a terrible war of annihilation by the Serbians, threatening to spread into the rest of Central Europe. Think back to the 1988 campaign. What did Michael Dukakis say about the Balkans? What did candidate Bush say? What did President Bush say? But, back in 1988, Lyndon LaRouche used part of a campaign message, nationally broadcast on CBS network, to describe the potential for a Yugoslav break-up, and to warn of the danger it posed to European stability. His warnings were unheeded. In that same 1988 national broadcast, LaRouche reported on a trip to Berlin which he and his wife, German political leader Helga Zepp-LaRouche, had made on October 12 of that year. The LaRouches went to Berlin, to present a proposal which was considered incredible, by many people at the time. LAROUCHE: "Under proper conditions, many today will agree, that the time has come for early steps toward the reunification of Germany, with the obvious prospect that Berlin might resume its role as the nation's capital. "I base this possibility on the reality of a terrible world-wide food crisis, which has erupted over the past several months, and which will dominate the world's politics in every part of the world for at least two years to come. "The economy of the Soviet Bloc itself is a terrible and worsening failure. In western European culture, we have demonstrated theat the successes of nations with big industries depends upon the technologically progressive independent farmer, and what is called here in Germany the Mittlestand. "Soviet culture, in its present form, is not capable of applying this lesson. Despite all attempts at structural reform, and despite any amount of credit supplied by the foolish West, the Soviet Bloc economy as a whole has reached the critical point in time, that in its present form, it will continue to slide down hill from here on, even if the present world-wide food crisis had not come into being." (From Bristol Hotel Press Conference, October 31, 1988) ANNOUNCER; A little over one year later, the Berlin Wall was down. Today, Berlin is the capital of a reunified Germany -- just as LaRouche forecast. The Soviet Union has collapsed, largely as the result of its economic problems -- just as LaRouche forecast. And famine threatens Russia -- just as LaRouche forecast. What did Michael Dukakis, or any of the other Democratic contenders, say about German reunification in 1988? What did candidate Bush say? As soon as he was inaugurated in January 1989, President Bush demanded that the oppressed peoples of China and Eastern Europe, slow down their efforts to throw off their Communist dictators. Even when events made Bush's demand obsolete, the President desperately tried to maintain the old power arrangements. In the words of the old gambler, Mr. Bush has been busy backing the wrong horse. During that same period, Lyndon LaRouche -- from his prison -- has been developing the detailed programs necessary to integrate the former Communist nations into a new, revived European economic bloc. (E.g., "The Science of Christian Economy" and "Can the Europe Pull the U.S. Out of Economic Collapse".) On his behalf, Helga Zepp-LaRouche and her representatives have extensively toured Eastern Europe, explaining those programs to high-level officials. What is President Bush's current program for the former Iron Curtain countries? He insists that they institute ``free market reforms,'' which means that they must open themselves to the conditionalities of the International Monetary Fund and other Anglo-American banking organizations. They must follow the policies of Harvard economist Jeffrey Sachs, for instance: devaluing their currencies, destroying what's left of their industry, throwing millions onto unemployment -- all, so that the Anglo-American bankers can loot what remains. In other words, Bush proposes to treat the former Soviet Union and Eastern Bloc countries like the IMF treats the nations of Ibero-America and Africa. Lyndon LaRouche now warns that, if there is still a danger of nuclear war, its source is the insane foreign economic policy of George Bush. LaRouche sent the following taped message, from his prison, on December 28th, concerning the new free market reforms of Russian president Boris Yeltsin: LAROUCHE: "If Yeltsin, for example, and his government, were to go with a reform of the type which Sachs and Sachs's co-thinkers demand -- chiefly from the Anglo-American side -- then the result in Russia would be chaos. In such a case, the overthrow of Yeltsin by a dictatorship and the restoration of a form of what is called totalitarianism would probably occur. In that case, then we have a strategic threat.'' (From December 28, 1991 audio recording) ANNOUNCER: Is the United States going to go down to contempt in history, because the Americans of 1992 didn't have the courage to support a man for president in a time of crisis, perhaps simply because that man happened to be a political prisoner, put into prison by his enemy, George Bush? Lyndon LaRouche has warned you, and he has never lied to you. He would never make the blunders that George Bush has made, and that the other Democrats running, say they want to make. He is the only candidate capable of implementing the kind of emergency measures needed to get us out of this depression. LAROUCHE: ``What is needed is a genuine recovery program. That means that there is no hope of anything but things getting constantly worse and worse until my kind of program is implemented. And, I don't think there's anyone around with the guts or conception of how to do that, except me. Let me give you an example. ``My recovery program depends upon the initial action of federalizing (nationalizing) the Federal Reserve system. That is, to take away its status as a quasi-independent corporation controlled by bankers, and to make it an institution of the U.S. government, a bank of the U.S. government, the kind of bank that the United States Bank represented under President George Washington. ``This bank would be a means, not for emitting currency, but for putting federal currency, legal tender, out as loans at very low interest rates to get the economy moving. "Now we are talking about loans on the order of magnitude of over $300 billion a year for public works, and a comparable amount of lending into the private sector for investment in basically, employment in high-tech and engineering types of activity. ``We're talking about 3 million people in the public sector, working for federal, state and local infrastructural projects, such as railway projects, water system projects, power system projects, and that sort of thing. ``We are talking about, on the other side, another 3 million people at least, employed as a result of vendor agreements, which are made with these public projects. "So we are talking about an increase in employment of about 6 million people within a year. ``That's my basic recovery program. All done, not in make-work, but in necessary things that should have been done a long time ago, and are now long overdue. That will get the economy moving. ``But, it's got to be done, and nobody else intends to do it but me. And therefore, if you don't elect me by some way -- use your imagination, get me elected -- then you're going to be sitting in the worst depression of the 20th century for a long time to come.'' (From December 21, 1991 audio recording) END For More Information: write LaRouche in '92, P.O. Box 690, Leesburg, Virginia 22075. The preceding broadcast was authorized and paid for by Democrats for Economic Recovery Larouche in '92. END TRANSCRIPT