>From MCELROY@zodiac.rutgers.edu Ukn Jan 11 19:02:55 1993 SINN FEIN AND LOCAL ELECTIONS: THE GOVERNMENT'S RESPONSE IN NORTHERN IRELAND. by Colin Knox. From Parliamentary Affairs. October 1, 1990. The emergence of Provisional Sinn Fein, the political wing of the Provisional Irish Republican Army (IRA), as an electoral force in Northern Ireland politics since 1981 has been problematic for the British government. Sinn Fein's strategy of a joint military and political campaign to achieve a united Ireland, embodied in their protestation 'while not everyone can plant a bomb, everyone can plant a vote' is considered both provocative and anti-democratic. The British government, however, has played an active, if in retrospective counterproductive, part in Sinn Fein's political pursuits. Ending the proscription of Sinn Fein in 1975 was a serious attempt to encourage advocates of violence into political process and by doing so to distance them from the IRA. It was hoped that the politics of persuasion and argument would ultimately convince Sinn Feiners of the benefits to be gained through active participation in the democratic process and simultaneously divide opinion on the need to continue a military campaign. This approach by the government met with limited success and short of proscription, which the Prime Minister is against, a number of legislative measures have been introduced aimed primarily at Sinn Fein. These measures influence the way elections are conducted and circumscribed the election campaign. Firstly, the legislation alters the rules of voting--voters must produce identification, candidates must sign an anti- violence declaration. This makes Northern Ireland an exception within the United Kingdom for electoral purposes. Secondly, a 'media ban' on Sinn Fein (and others) severely curtails political communication which, given the primacy of television as a means of electoral communication, may damage the party's success at the polls. This article traces the influence of the new measures on Sinn Fein in the 1989 local elections and reflects upon their joint electoral and military strategy. The Local Government System Local government in Northern Ireland is a relatively powerless political forum within which 566 councilors are elected by the single transferable vote method of proportional representation to 26 single tier authorities. The councils are responsible for a minor range of functions, principally the provision of street cleaning, refuse collection, cemeteries and recreation services, to a population of 1.6 million. Their insignificance ia apparent from their 1989-90 budget of 140 million pounds or 2.6 percent of planned public expenditure in the province. The present local government system, based upon the Local Government (NI) Act 1972, is the by-product of two convergent problems which surfaced in the late 1960's. The first problem was an administrative one: a large number (73) of small local authorities and development commissions were then responsible for a range of services financed from a relatively small rate (tax) base. Their efficiency became a matter of concern for the Stormont government and resulted in two White Papers setting out reform proposals. At the same time the Redcliffe-Maud (1969) and Wheatly (1972) reports set out to simplify the British system of local government by reducing the number of councils and strengthening local democracy. The second problem was a political one: for civil rights campaigners, local authorities epitomized Unionist domination and misuse of power. Allegations of discrimination in jobs and housing, alongside gerrymandering of local authority boundaries and restricted voting franchise, precipitated the civil disturbances of 1968. At this point, in the words of one commentator, the "transcendence of the Unionist state and the reform of local government merged as a single issue." The Northern Ireland government appointed a review body on local government with the principal aim of considering its efficiency. Its conclusions, influenced by proposals for reform in Scotland, were a division into regional and district functions with a Stormont Parliament responsible for the former and 26 districts the latter. The recommendations were incorporated into the 1972 Act. The two-tier system was superseded, however, by the abolition of the Stormont Parliament in March 1972 and the imposition of direct rule under which Northern Ireland ministers are now responsible for regional services. Local government therefore evolved from the political turmoil of the early 1970's against a background of significant changes in local service administration and special circumstances of street protests, riots and bombings prevalent at that time. Elections to the new councils were held in May 1973 under the STV/PR system. This had the effect of increasing competition for fewer councils seats and reducing the number of local authorities controlled by single party. Unionists resented the loss of council powers and the abolition of their Parliament but participated in the new system of local government. From 1973 to 1985 occasional skirmishes with the British government occurred over security policy and resulted in a semi-boycott of council meetings in 1981. Some councils engaged in what was termed the 'politics of irresponsibility', denigrating the services of various statutory providers such as the Housing Executive which had taken over those functions from local authorities. Political and sectarian conflict also emerged on occasions in the appointment of council chairmen and representatives to area health and education boards. The fairly low-key nature councils' responsibilities conceals the fact that they are an important political and symbolic forum for local politicians. As observers have noted, "while denuded of powers, the councils have functioned as the major indigenous arenas for politics during most of the direct rule period." This is particularly true from 1985 onwards with the signing of the Anglo-Irish Agreement and the emergence of Sinn Finn as representatives on the councils. Sinn Fein in Local Government Until 1981, Sinn Fein had a limited involvement in the electoral politics of Northern Ireland, which it regarded as an adjunct to armed resistance (vested in the IRA) against the British presence. McAllister and Nelson summarized its position: "In theory, Provisional Sinn Fein's policies combine non-sectarianism and socialism. In practice, however, these commitments are purely nominal and its policies are a rudimentary combination of orthodox physical-force republicanism and Catholic conservatism. The organization's primary aim is simply to remove the British presence from Northern Ireland and establish a United Ireland." During the lifetime of the Northern Ireland Parliament at Stormont (1921- 1971) both provincial and Westminster elections were held and Sinn Fein rarely contested the former. Legal requirement obliged candidates to declare that they would take their seats if elected and recognize the lawful authority of Stormont (Representation of the People (NI) Act of 1934, Electoral Law (NI) 1962). Both were anathema to Sinn Fein which competed for Westminster elections as abstentionists, refusing to confer legitimacy upon Northern Ireland as a part of the United Kingdom. After the outbreak of civil disturbances in 1969, the republican movement split into the Republican Clubs, whose military wing was the Official IRA, and the Provisional IRA (Provos). The Provos accused the Official movement of not defending Ulster Catholics at a crucial period and established Provisional Sinn Fein as their political front in 1970. Sinn Fein refused to contest the Northern Ireland Assembly elections of June 1973 and the Constitutional Convention elections of May 1975, engaging in boycotting/abstentionist campaigns. Westminster officials actively participated in discussions with Sinn Fein and agreed to incident centers being set up (staffed by Sinn Fein and government officials) in Catholic areas to monitor the IRA ceasefire and prevent escalating violence. This provoked adverse reactions from the Catholic Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) and Unionists alike. The 1980/81 hunger strikes against the abolition of political status in the Maze prison and the associated bad press for the British government provided Sinn Fein with an electoral opportunity under the guise of 'Anti-H-Block' campaigners. Bobby Sands, the hunger strike leader, won a Westminster by- election in 1981, followed by Owen Carron. Although Sinn Finn leaders were reluctant at embarking upon this electoral strategy they were also encouraged by its success. This was bolstered by Sinn Fein, again standing as 'Anti-H- Block' candidates, gaining 7.7 percent of the vote in the council elections of 1981. As a result of its electoral successes, Sinn Finn mounted a direct challenge to the SDLP. Although firmly committed to the 'armed struggle', it adopted the joint 'ballot box/armalite' strategy at its 1981 conference and contested the 1982 Northern Ireland Assembly elections. This was part of the Secretary of State's (Jim Prior) 'rolling devolution' scheme, aimed at the resumption of legislative and executive functions by a N.I Assembly. Sinn Fein achieved 10.1 percent of the votes compared with the SDLP's 18.8 percent vote. In the June 1983 Westminster elections Sinn Fein gained 13.4 of the poll as against 17.9 for the SDLP. At this point Sinn Fein threatened to displace the SDLP as the main party of the Nationalist community. The threat receded in the European elections of June 1984 when John Hume (22.1) achieved a significant victory over Sinn Fein's Danny Morrison (13.3). Chastened by their contest with the SDLP, Sinn Fein were more cautious in their claims for the 1985 local government elections although by this stage had committed themselves firmly to the electoral process. Academic observers noted 'regardless of all disavowals, the Provos are now trapped to some degree in the search for electoral approval. Others saw the political strategy not as a 'trap' but a decisive move away from a 'form of republicanism that was outmoded, outvoted and outgunned.' Local elections 1985 and 1989 This potted summary of Sinn Fein's involvement in Northern Ireland politics is a necessary preface to the party's active participation in local government since 1985 and the associated electoral constraints placed upon it. >From the early 1980's Sinn Fein became involved in community politics through participation in residents' and tenants' associations, the management of community centers and a network of advice centers. Such were the problems of economic social depravation, including very high rates of unemployment, that inner city areas of Belfast and Derry proved to be very receptive to hard- working Sinn Fein activists. This provided an infrastructure upon which the Party could build local council electoral support. Gerry Adams, the Sinn Fein president, launching the manifesto in April 1985, claimed the party was not out to maximize the Republican vote in the election, but rather to consolidate the Republican base. The election, he indicated, would be used as an organizational campaign, to consolidate in selected areas, and to put forward a new local leadership for the purpose of propagandizing, organizing and building the party. The main electoral of both Unionist parties--the Ulster Unionists (UUP) and Democratic Unionists (DUP)--was to 'smash Sinn Fein' and ostracize those who were elected, by a policy of exclusion and isolation. Sinn Fein achieved 11.8 of the votes compared with 17.8 by the SDLP. This secured a Sinn Fein presence of 59 seats on 17 of Northern Ireland's district councils. Of the 59 councilors, eleven had been convicted of terrorist- type offenses and six others had received convictions for scheduled offenses. As predicted by Unionist parties, local government witnessed a period of considerable disarray initially stemming from Sinn Fein's involvement on local councils and soon afterwards from the signing of the Anglo-Irish Agreement. Unionist councils adopted a series of disruptive tactics including adjournments, refusal to set rates, legal challenges and publicity campaigns, finally resumpting normal business when all their efforts had failed to shift the government's position on the Anglo-Irish Agreement. Such was the background to the 1989 local government elections in which Sinn Fein's presence on local councils had been all but eclipsed by opposition to the Anglo-Irish Agreement. Sinn Fein claimed in its 1989 election manifesto that: "The British government's military forces and Loyalist death squads have done their utmost to wipe out Sinn Fein councilors, organizers, election workers, supporters and legal representatives. This is the election the British government never intended Sinn Fein to contest." Gerry Adams voiced criticism of the increasing number of IRA 'mistakes' in which civilians were injured or killed. This was met with derision and contempt by political opponents who viewed is as an attempt to rationalize Sinn Fein's brand of politics and violence. Its vote dropped marginally from 11.8 in 1985 to 11.2 in 1989, while the SDLP vote increased significantly from 17.8 to 21. Sinn Fein's representation decreased from memberships of 17 councils to 14 through a relatively poor performance in rural areas but concentrated support in hard core areas of Belfast, Derry, Newry and Mourne, Fermanagh and Omagh. The Government Response The British government's response to Sinn Fein's presence in council chambers has ostensibly been an acceptance of the wished of the republican electorate. At the same time, however, a number of legislative measures have been adopted to control and restrict Sinn Fein electorally. These are considered below. Proof of Voters' Identity The government introduced legislation--the Elections (N.I.) Act 1985-- which required all voters to produce evidence of their identity before being allowed to vote. This was inspired by claims that Sinn Fein's vote in the 1982 Assembly and the 1983 Westminster elections had been bolstered by "personation" (the legal term for impersonation) and other frauds on polling day--referred to colloquially as 'vote early and vote often'. Evidence of electoral malpractice is provided by the number of 'tendered' ballot papers issued (special ballot papers submitted by genuine electors whose votes had already been cast). There were 762 and 949 in 1982 and 1983 elections respectively. The largest numbers were evident in constituencies with a Nationalist electorate and Sinn Fein presence--Belfast West, Belfast North, Mid- Ulster, Foyle and Newry & Armagh. At the same elections there were 26 and 149 arrests for impersonation. Allegations were made that as much as 20 percent of the Sinn Fein vote had been acquired by malpractice in what the Secretary of State referred to as "an organized militaristic campaign on a wide scale to steal people's vote." In an effort th tackle such abuses the new law, first introduced for the 1985 council elections, required all voters to produce one of the following documents--a current driving licence, a medical card, a social services' allowance book (e.g. pension or child allowance book), a British of Republic of Ireland passport, a marriage certificate (for a woman married within two years of the elections). All constitutional parties were agreed on the principle of tackling electoral abuse but there was widespread dissent over the documentation required and its effectiveness in solving the problem. Moreover the question of Northern Ireland being treated differently prompted Unionists to argue that 'there should be an assurance of the integrity of the electoral process throughout the United Kingdom." In other words, parity of treatment under electoral law should exist for all citizens of the United Kingdom. This was a facile proposition, according to the government, given the very different electoral systems which already existed in Northern Ireland. Parliamentary elections in Northern Ireland were held under the simple majority system, while local government and European elections use the single transferable vote form of proportional representation. Impersonation did not pose a problem in Great Britain, moreover, and elections there were free from paramilitary interference. On Northern Ireland minister (Nicholas Scott) acknowledged that the legislation represented a departure from the traditional British way of holding elections but questioned which was the lesser of two evils: "To have another difference between the electoral system in Northern Ireland and that which obtains in Great Britain, or to allow the democratic process to be undermined by those who seek to poison and destroy it." In impact of the electoral law has been significant--arrests have plummeted but the cost of this, according the Northern Ireland politicians, has been a sizeable number (Enoch Powell suggested as much as 10 percent) being prevented from voting because of documentation difficulties. ALthough a problem of forging medical cards still exists, the issue of wide-scale impersonation has ended as a result of the process of identification. Anti-Violence Declaration A second important piece of legislation was introduced in the form of the Elected Authorities (N.I.) Act 1988 which, inter alia, required candidates at district council elections to make a declaration against terrorism. Candidates are required to endorse the following declaration: I declare that, if elected, I will not by word or deed express support for or approval of (a) Any organization that is for the time being a proscribed organization specified in Schedule 2 of the Northern Ireland (Emergency Provisions) Act 1978 or (b) Acts of terrorism (that is to say, violence for political ends) connected with the affairs of Northern Ireland. This was clearly (although not exclusively) aimed at Sinn Fein candidates standing in the 1989 local elections. The law does not ban candidates standing on a programme involving violence, but if elected the declaration applies. The measure met with considerable opposition. Opponents (Labour Party and SDLP) argued that a battery of powers already existed in criminal law to deal with the expression of support for violence and that Sinn Fein would sign the declaration regardless, moreover it would provide Sinn Fein with a propaganda bonus as a subjugated minority party being electorally oppressed because of its policies. The legislation however attracted most criticism over the issue of enforcement in which the onus is placed on councils, councillors and individual citizens to take action against those in breach of the law--a civil rather than criminal offense. Different standards of proof are requires; in the former the 'balance of probabilities' is used, whereas in the latter the Director of Public Prosecutions is required to prove 'beyond a reasonable doubt' the law has been breached. That the government opted for civil enforcement not only placed an undue pressure on individuals who could be subjected to intimidation and financial hardship (if the action failed) but also exposed a lack of confidence by government in the measures involved. As one Unionist put it: "If the DPP is not given a role, we had better be clear what we are asking local government representatives to do--we are asking them to sign their own death warrants." Unionist representatives argued ideally for outright proscription of Sinn Fein but more realistically for the declaration to include a repudiation of violence. Not advocating or supporting violence as the declaration demanded was quite different from rejecting it. The law applies only to local councils in Northern Ireland. Elections to the Westminster and European Parliaments within Northern Ireland are excluded, as are all British elections. This serves only to highlight the anomalies in electoral law throughout the United Kingdom. The predictions are that the courts will become heavily involved in arbitrating on the vaguely worded declaration. Loyalist and Nationalists will goad each other into violating the law, and local government will continue to be a turbulent political forum. Broadcasting Ban Perhaps the most stringent legislative measure to affect local government has been the restrictions on broadcasting precipitated by an upsurge of IRA violence in the summer of 1988. The killing of eight soldiers on an army bus in Ballygawley resulted in a new security package which included a media ban on Sinn Fein (and others),the anti-violence oath described, the ending of the right to silence for suspects questioned by police and a cut in remission for offenders. The BBC operates under Licence and Agreement arrangements and the Independent Broadcasting Authority is regulated by the Broadcasting Act of 1981, both of which give the Home Secretary extensive power to determine what may or may not be broadcast. In October 1988 he issued notices to the BBC and the IBA requiring them to refrain from broadcasting direct statements by representatives of organizations proscribed in the UK (The IRA, the UFF and the Red Hand Commandos) and by representatives of Sinn Fein and the Ulster Defense Association (UDA). The directives also prohibit the broadcasting of statements by any person which support or invite support for these organizations--'words spoken by a person who appears or is heard on the programme on which the matter is broadcast where the person speaking the words represents, or reports to represent, one of the organizations specified." Non-compliance with the notices would result in 'action against the regulatory authorities', interpreted by O'Maolain as the imposition of a server penalty to avoid the withdrawal or suspension of their broadcast licence or some other punishment by way of a variation to their licence. The restriction do not apply to the broadcast of proceedings in Parliament and have a 'more limited effect' during election periods. The government view was that broadcasters had legal obligations of impartiality when covering elections and these should not be undermined by a more general media ban. The rational behind the broadcasting ban was to deny those who propagate terrorism access to radio and television. The government argued that the measures taken were not a restriction on reporting but on direct appearances by those who use or support violence. As the Home Secretary put it: "This is not censorship, because it does not deal with or prohibit the reporting of events. It deals with and prohibits direct access and its extra impact on terrorism and its supporters. Broadly, we are putting broadcasters on the same basis as a representative of the written press.: In general the ban received a welcome from both Unionist parties. They interpreted it as the beginning of 'an inevitable process designed to squeeze Sinn Fein out of the political system in Northern Ireland." The main Nationalist party (SDLP) argued that such measures were ill-conceived because Sinn Fein and the IRA would reap propaganda value from portraying the British government as repressive. Moreover, the effects of the ban would be negligible in that opportunities for reporting opinions of terrorist organizations on television would not be reduced. A loophole allowed personal appearances with 'voice-overs' carrying the exact words or a paraphrase of them. The ban would therefore have limited practical impact yet damage the government's legal challenge, claiming that it was unlawful and in breach of the European Convention on Human Rights. Sinn Fein claimed that its political opponents were given an electoral advantage since it had no right to reply to verbal attacks-- and this would encourage disinformation. The party cited the decrease in inquires to the Belfast Republican Press Centre from broadcasting authorities affected by the ban--from 471 in the four month before to its imposition 10 110 in the following four months. In practice, confusion over interpretation of the ban and the guidelines to be followed within broadcasting has led to a form of self-censorship by the media. In January 1990, for example, the launch of a Sinn Fein Housing document asking the government to inject 40 million pounds of extra resources for the West Belfast areas was carried by the BBC. Gerry Adams (in his own voice) explained the reasons for the request. Ulster Television carried the report but the IBA instructed it not to use Gerry Adams's voice. Broadcasters have erred on the side of caution, unwilling to test the parameters of the ban. The reporting of local government issues, ostensibly unrelated to the substance of the legislation, has suffered a similar fate. Sinn Fein's case for publishing Belfast City Council's minutes in Irish was considered too troublesome by the BBC to report, faced with muddled interpretation of the ban. The 1989 Local Elections--The Sinn Fein Perspective The extent to which the three measures described above effected Sinn Fein in the 1989 local government elections varied considerably. In the case of proof of identity, three elections had taken place since its introduction (1985 council elections, 1986 UK by-elections and 1987 UK general elections) and the electorate were aware of the documentation required. Less confusion and ambiguity prevailed and political parties were not as involved in educating their supporters, as was the case in 1985. Humorist remarked that election campaigning did not take place in graveyards, for the purpose of stealing votes, as before. The impact of the anti-violence legislation on the Sinn Fein campaign was negligible. The sitting Republican Sinn Fein candidates (3 in number) were not allowed to defend their seats when they refused to sign the declaration, but Provisional Sinn Fein candidates signed it before the 1989 elections on the grounds that they would not be denied the right to represent their electorate. They accused the government of being hypocritical on violence as applied through the repressive tactics. of the Royal ulster Constabulary (RUC) and British army and of using the declaration as a way of forcing Sinn Fein to abandon its electoral strategy. Government intentions in relation to the anti violence oath were clearly thwarted and its potential effects on Sinn Fein outmaneuvered. The media ban had a marginal influence on Sinn Fein in the 1989 local elections simply because of its limited period of operation (October 1988-May 1989). However, the party argues that its cumulative impact will seriously damage its electoral prospects. Sinn Fein suggests that a hard core Republican vote exists in Northern Ireland and is unlikely to be wooed by its main Nationalist rival (SDLP) or any other party. In areas of Northern Ireland where party organizational difficulties exist, the key task for Sinn Fein is to encourage its supporters to vote. The media ban will present it with increasing difficulties in reaching potential voters and consolidating their support. The pre-election respite, in which the ban 'has limited effect', is viewed as a political sop to those who oppose the measure and n no way compensates for lack of media exposure and the promotion of political policies at any time. Because the Representation of the Peoples Act requires the BBC and IBA to give coverage to all election candidates (ensuring that one party is not given more favourable treatment than another), the Ulster Unionists suggested that all other parties desist from using television in Northern Ireland during the elections to stop Sinn Fein from doing so. Sinn Fein argues that the three measures should not be viewed in isolation but as part of an ongoing concerted campaign of repression by the government, destined to fail. It cites similar restrictions in the Republic of Ireland such as that which prohibits the broadcasting of material that promotes any organization supporting violence. As one commentator noted: "Repression will not crush republican support...the exclusion of Sinn Fein from the airwaves, curbs on their elected officials, harassment, brutality and manipulation of the law to secure conditions...is likely to increase the alienation of republican sympathizers." Faced with such restrictions, Sinn Fein has deployed a series of measures to get is electoral message across. When incidents of political significance occur about which inn Fein feels it has a right to respond and the media have a responsibility to elicit its views, the party lobbies journalists, news editors and producers. For example, in January 1990 three criminals raided a betting shop in West Belfast and were shot dead by undercover British troops: Sinn Fein lobbied the media to carry the Republican response, as opposed to the more regular appearance of an SDLP spokesman, since the incident took place within Gerry Adams' constituency. Journalists are also lobbied, manly to the Irish News, Belfast Telegraph and occasionally the Irish News. Leafleting, news sheets and bulletins are seen as another important means of dissemination views, in particular the weekly Sinn Fein paper An Phoblacht/Republican News, with 44,000 sold weekly and a claimed readership of 100,000 people. Such methods were expensive, however, which created difficulties for a party with limited electoral base and limited financial resources. In the course of the 1989 campaign Sinn Fein claimed harassment, intimidation and the arrest of party workers involved in distributing posters and election material by the security forces. In the absence of funds for major advertising in the pre-election period (engaged in by rival), Sinn Fein voters may be less aware of the need to support the party at the ballot box. Media prompting is necessary to stimulate the electorally apathetic but no less committed Republican. The ongoing impact of the media ban was described by the Party's Publicity officer: "By the time we reach Westminster elections in 1992/92, censorship will be the dominant factor in our ability or inability to campaign effectively and get out our vote. At that stage we will have been banned from the broadcasting media for a period of three or four years. During that time other political parties will have presented themselves in a way which demonstrates to viewers and potential voters their ability to represent them. Marginalization of Sinn Fein will have been strengthened by censorship." Election campaigning was seen as much more than the pre-election courting of voters by Sinn Fein. Its involvement in community politics, based upon local organizations and advice centres, presented the party in a way which demonstrated a continuing commitment to daily economic and social problems, more important in the short-term for voters than constitutional issues. Being part of their electoral base, in the way other parties (with the exception of the DUP) were not, Sinn Fein's candidates and politicians could empathize with the problems of the community in which they live. Curbing Sinn Fein? Rose has argued that the dilemma facing governments confronting an 'anti-system' party is more apparent than real. If such a party has little popular support, then allowing it to fight elections will demonstrate its weakness. On the other hand, trying to ban an 'anti-system' party which has a large measure of support is futile is futile. ALthough the British government has been reluctant to proscribe Sinn Fein, to what extent have the measures described above curbed the party's anti-democratic excesses or damaged it electorally? Taken together, the elections (NI) Act 1985, the Elected Authorities (NI) Act 1988 and the media ban directive of October 1988 appear to have a limited impact on the 1989 elections. The ongoing, prohibitive and rigorous application of the media ban will however create problems for Sinn Fein. Each of the three measures could be seen as an insidious attack by government on a legal political party. An attack on the rights of elected officials, regardless of their views, is an attack on the electorate and the democratic process itself. Equivocation by the government has been criticized by the SDLP: "The fact that you have people elected under a particular party ticket is part of the democratic process and you cannot tinker with that. Either you ban people entirely from the democratic process, or you accept the consequences of a democratic decision-- you cannot have it both ways." The long term consequences for Sinn Fein's electoral support must of course be speculative. Experience to date suggests that the party's electoral appeal is linked to factors such as the fortunes of the SDLP, the political ambience and other extraneous factors (e.g. conflict over segregation of prisoners). When political tensions are high, Sinn Fein benefits electorally. Its 1982 Assembly and 1983 Westminster election campaign capitalized on the hunger strikes in which the government was seen as unyielding. Sinn Fein has highlights state repression at every opportunity; the Stalker affair over allegations of a shoot-to-kill policy by the RUC, the Emergency Provisions Act, the Prevention of Terrorism Act, the scrapping of legislation which removes a person's right to silence, the Diplock courts, the use of plastic bullets and strip searching have all featured as election propaganda. More recently, allegations of malpractice within the Ulster Defense Regiment (UDR) (investigated by the Stevens enquiry, which uncovered evidence of collusion, especially the passing of intelligence on Republicans and passing of weapons between the security forces and loyalist death squads) has provided Sinn Fein with the necessary 'proof' of its partisan role. Young Catholics, frequently in contact with UDR and British soldiers at vehicle check-points are driven into the ranks of the Sinn Fein due to alleged harassment. In the age group 18-24, Sinn Fein is over-represented in relations to its overall level of support compared with an underrepresentation in the same cohort within the SDLP. The activities of the IRA also have a bearing on the level of Sinn Fein support, favorable or otherwise. The killing of eight Provisional IRA members en route to bomb a police station in Loughall in May 1987 and the September 1989 bombing of British soldier musicians at Deal in Kent, when 10 bandsmen were killed and 22 people injured, cast the IRA in the role of political martyrs and freedom fighters respectively. Sinn Fein can bask in the electoral glory of such incidents. On other hand, the Enniskillen massacre of November 1987 and a number of IRA 'mistakes' such as the November 1988 deaths of an Ulster pensioner and his granddaughter by a bomb intended to destroy the Benburb police station have damaged Sinn Fein at the polls. The equally repugnant campaign by Loyalist assassination squads against those linked with Sinn Fein or Republicans (solicitor Pat Finucane and Sinn Fein councillor John Davey respectively) has also benefited the party electorally. The government has consciously played its part in creating conditions in which the SDLP vote will increase, ideally at the expense of Sinn Fein. The Anglo-Irish Agreement 1985 provided a fillup for the SDLP and improved its electoral support by remotivating its supporters. Recent investment plans for Derry have been promoted as SDLP inspired initiatives with John Hume at the forefront of the official announcement launch. A similar development in West Belfast is unlikely to Sinn Fein MP Gerry Adams, in a similar role. In summary, it is impossible to single out any electoral impact the legislative measures have had in the short term although the media ban may well have consequences for Sinn Fein's ability to get its message across in the long term and consolidate its electoral base. This begs the question what in fact was the purpose of the measures--especially the broadcasting ban--beyond the self- evident? One observer has argued that Northern Ireland has 'provided the means by which the professional broadcasters have steadily been brought to the government's heel." The much publicized conflict between the Thatcher government and the media over coverage of the US raids on Libya, the Secret Society affair, Gibraltar killings ("Death on the Rock" and "Real Lives" documentaries) provided the momentum for the broadcasting ban in Northern Ireland. Decisive action against Sinn Fein (and others) was a useful pretext for establishing authority over the broadcasters and at the same time a spontaneous reactions to an escalating campaign of violence by the IRA. The anti-violence declaration, whilst linked with the latter, was offered as an olive branch to dispirited Unionist councillors in the wake of a failed campaign of disruption against the Anglo-irish Agreement and their opposition to Sinn Fein. Ministers were constantly reminded of their hypocritical approach to Sinn Fein--on the one hand refusing to meet the party;'s delegates but expecting constitutional parties to work with them in council chambers on the other. The anti-violence declaration was a palliative for councillors who found Sinn Fein's presence in councils anathema. Conclusion The measures described must be seen in the context of a wider policy to deal with terrorism and those who advocate and condone violence. Sinn Fein's support for the armed struggle juxtaposed with an electoral strategy is based on a notion that a political campaign is a necessary component of a long-term 'anti-colonial war.' The repugnance felt by a majority of Nationalists at the brutal acts of violence carried out on their behalf required a political response which could rationalize murder and destruction as the only legitimate means of securing 'national self-determination and the removal of the occupying British forces'. Political activists liken their struggle to their struggle to conflicts in South Africa, Lebanon and the Occupied Territories, in particular similarities in the controversial role of the security forces, the operation of emergency laws and instances of human rights violations. Sinn Fein has argued that constitutional politics alone cannot secure its political objective, citing the Anglo-Irish Agreement as a failed initiative which has not benefited Nationalists. There are, however, convincing reasons why the dual approach of violence and politics adopted by Sinn Fein is both incompatible and futile. Wilkerson, in a general discussion on political violence, notes characteristics which illustrate its inefficacy. Firstly, it is extremely difficult for its perpetrators to control and the wrong targets may be hit. Secondly, the effects of political violence--death, maiming and destruction--are irreversible. The result is that 'reconciliation and compromise, the cement of normal politics, becomes less and less attainable the longer political violence continues." Both of these factors are apparent in Northern Ireland. One of the on-going tensions between Sinn Fein and the IRA is the number of 'mistakes' which are made by the IRA. An example in May 1990 involved the killing of two Australian tourists in Holland, mistaken for British soldiers based at a nearby headquarters of the British Army of the Rhine in Germany. This was by no means an isolated case. Such fatal incidents damage the IRA and Sinn Fein even amongst their most loyal supporters. It resulted in Gerry Adams unusually condemning the murders of the two Australians as 'inexcusable and unjustifiable.' The incident also highlighted the ongoing rift between Sinn Fein and the IRA and followed Adams comments to the Provos in 1988 to get their house in order after a catalogue of 'mistakes'. Significantly, one week later Sinn Fein refused to condemn the killing of a young army recruit at Litchfield railway station in England. On the same day the UVF, the outlawed loyalist paramilitary organization, killed a Catholic (Patrick Boyle) and injured his two sons by mistake in Annaghmore. Other tensions have emerged between the political and military strategists. The high resource costs necessary for election campaigns and community politics, which are a feature of Sinn Fein's day-to-day operation, are seen as a huge financial drain. The opportunity cost is that resources spent on political campaigns is money not available for 'volunteers', and energies are diverted into fundaising, sometimes by dubious means. There is also some criticism of the long-term prospects for Sinn Fein as a political party, bearing in mind the restrictions resulting from the media ban. The last three elections (1985 local, 1987 parliamentary and the 1989 local elections) have seen Sinn Fein's support slowly decrease to just over 11 percent. This raises the question as to whether the human and financial resource commitment to maintain this level of political support is worthwhile and what happens if there is further decline in the party's electoral appeal? Militarists would be unhappy to interpret such a decrease in support for Sinn Fein as a veto on the armed struggle. Although the measures discussed were conceived in the aftermath of increased IRA violence, their purpose and impact are difficult to disentangle from wider issues of mollifying Unionists and moderating broadcasters. If the purpose was to disenfranchise Sinn Fein and deny the party the opportunity to communicate its political message, there is something disingenuous about this approach having rejected proscription. Attempts to wean republican voters away from Sinn Fein are more likely to succeed by economic and social measures, the 'hearts and minds' strategy, than legislating the party out of existence and creating further electoral anomalies in Northern Ireland. ********** For further information on Ireland on peacenet, please consult 'reg.ireland'.